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If you’ve been paying attention for the last year, you have likely heard stories of properties selling for hundreds of thousands over the asking price, spurred on by massive competition between buyers shooting in the dark the price that will land them a home. But if it works, and they have the money, can you blame them? Critics of the practice known as “blind bidding” are now calling for alternatives to be put in place, claiming it drives up prices artificially and makes homes more unaffordable.

Blind bidding is a process of property bidding in which no prospective buyer may know the offer of any other buyer. Buyers are shooting in the dark and hoping to land on the highest number, and many are getting desperate. Often, the highest bid is far above the second-highest, even when both are far above asking.

But, people need homes, and they will get them where they can. For sellers and agents, massively inflated sale prices make for a bigger payout. You can’t blame them for accepting.
Ultimately, the loser is the prospective buyer who doesn’t have $100,000 dollars to add to their offer. In a recent poll conducted by the CBC, 52% of respondents agreed blind bidding should be eliminated.

Before you blame agents, consider that provincial regulations such as the Real Estate Brokers Act in Ontario prohibit the disclosure of competing bids. If a seller wants to avoid blind bids, they will need to broker the sale themselves or sell through a rare few auction houses.

Critics say that blind bidding must be done away with for the sake of reigning in out-of-control housing prices, and the Liberals even made abolishing blind bidding a major campaign promise.

However, some agents are arguing the grass may not be so green on the other side. One counterexample is that of Australia, where property auctions are common and still housing prices have risen by 20% or more in many places in the past year. With similar increases seen in Canada, it seems to be a “damned if you do, damned if you don’t” scenario. Others argue that sellers should have the right to decide how they sell their property, with the banning of blind bidding representing a narrowing of options for the seller.

Whether for or against blind bidding, it’s clear that it’s only one issue of many in a troubled real estate system. Change in only one place is not going to address the concerns of many Canadians. The federal and provincial governments, as well as industry, all need to do their part to address what is a much wider issue.

After months of uncertainty (and not only in the housing market) many in Canada are hoping for a return to normal.

One major concern for Canadians has been the topic of affordability, as evidenced by the topic’s prevalence in campaign platforms of every major party in this past federal election. Statistics for 2021 so far indicate that while 2020 was an anomaly of sorts, the market and the economy are on it’s way back on track.

While trends indicate economic growth, for many Canadians the future feels far from certain. In the city of Ottawa, one of Canada’s largest real estate markets, many are hoping for a more favourable housing market while others are fearing a housing crash.

Average sale price on the rise

The average sale price for homes and condo properties in Ottawa has been exploding over the last two years, driven by high demand and limited inventory. According to reports from the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB), the average home price in Ottawa in September 2019 was around $486,828. Two years later average prices for property have ballooned to $702,155 – a 44% increase.

In the last year alone, home prices in Ottawa have seen a 26% increase. Based on the current average income in Ottawa, over half of its residents cannot afford the average home without outside help. The story is much the same in cities across Canada such as Toronto that have experienced nearly the same increase. If this trend in housing prices continues, everyone but the highest earners in the country is going to be out of luck.

The past year has been highly interesting for analysts as they adjusted to a new paradigm of real estate sales ebb and flow. The traditional seasonal real estate cycle season was interrupted in 2020, though a return to form seems in the cards.

Month-to-month increases in average price have slowed since a year earlier indicating a move away from the rapid growth seen last year. It is hoped this significant price will level off, or even decrease. However, a levelling off from a year ago still represents an increase over pre-pandemic years.

Supply just can’t keep up

At the same time, issues of availability are complicating the ability of the market to balance itself. Recent interruptions to the supply chain are one current issue. Builders are struggling to source building supplies for reasonable prices if they can even find them at all. That means the price of a new home, where they actually exist, is higher than ever.

Ottawa Real Estate Board cites supply as a major concern

“Price escalations that we saw in the first quarter of 2021 and now recurring in September are inevitable given the supply challenges we have been experiencing for several years now combined with the unrelenting high demand,” says Ottawa Real Estate Board President Debra Wright. “While inventory has improved slightly from the pre-pandemic years (2017-2019), it is still the principal cause for concern…”

In Ottawa, there is currently about one month’s worth of housing stock. There were around 1607 homes and condominiums sold in Ottawa in September, below the five-year average for sales in that month, and far below September of last year.

Seller’s market complicates things for buyers

The imbalance between available homes and interested buyers has led to a seller’s market with competitive bidding wars, causing many properties to sell above asking. For those actually able to find available properties, steep competition and blind bidding mean either ponying up big bucks or missing out.

However, OREB indicates trends levelling out in the coming months means this may not be the case moving forward.

“Properties are not moving as quickly as they were. Inventory has picked up; there is less scarcity and more choices – consequently, less upward pressure on prices. Additionally, we are noticing fewer of the multiple offer frenzy situations.” said Wright.

Should we be worried?

Many are worried that the increase in price for residential property seems too high to be sustainable. The thinking is that with growth in prices exceeding what most can afford, there is a risk of a market crash.

This could be particularly painful for those getting in now while prices are high, who could risk losing much of their value soon after buying. Even though prices are high now, it is more a product of low inventory and competition among buyers than it is unfounded speculation. Real estate historically is able to hold value well, considering it is a physical asset.

CMHC warns of housing market vulnerability

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation monthly housing market assessment ranks the health of national real estate markets on various criteria. In the September 2021 report, the CMHC ranks Ottawa with a moderate degree of imbalance in all four categories: overheating, price acceleration, overvaluation, and excess inventories.

Overall, the CMHC has ranked the Ottawa market as being highly vulnerable for a downturn, an increase from a moderate ranking a year ago.

What remains to be seen if a downturn does arrive, is just how bad it could be for the market.

Causes for uncertainty

There is one major cause for the uncertainty that should be no surprise by now and that is the COVID-19 pandemic.

Moving on from the pandemic won’t mean that all-out real estate problems will be solved, however. Things were still hard pre-pandemic, but getting beyond that major source of uncertainty will certainly be a help.

Smaller uncertainties remain linked to the larger issue of the pandemic. One such question is the return to workplaces and educational facilities. This could shift some demand back towards the rental or condo markets. There is also the question of interest rates, which are low now but likely to rise soon.

Another uncertainty is a government action, which is usually directed at cooling down the market.

How will the government address the issue?

Affordable housing was a major platform issue in the most recent federal election, and many across the country are looking to the government of Canada to help solve the problems of housing. Most recently, the mortgage stress test was made more stringent, with hopes to stabilize the market from major shocks, as well as to cool off some of the demand pushing prices up.

The Liberal federal government has proposed a new housing plan seeking to address current issues. They propose multiple solutions including making homeownership easier for first-time homebuyers, speeding up home development, ending blind bidding, and cracking down on speculation.

As with any political promises, the actual effectiveness of these policies remains in question.

Prices should continue to rise, at least gradually for the coming months. Beyond that, there is some uncertainty in how the housing market will behave next year. If you do choose to buy now, you will at least benefit from low mortgage rates. Do your best to pay as close to the market price as possible.

For those looking to sell, the temporary pressure caused by the pandemic may present a better opportunity now than when things cool off in the coming years. That being said, if you’re looking to sell your home and settle elsewhere, you will be facing the same competitive market as anyone else.

Overall, though a cooling off and possible price adjustment may be on the horizon, you can sleep at night without fear of a major housing collapse.

Global bond yield rates are up this month, and Canada is not missing out on the action.

The Government of Canada’s (GOC) five-year bond yield increased again this week, surging to 1.24% from the 0.85% of late September. This development adds to an already strong growth of over 75 basis points (bps) from the beginning of the year. The increase was expected to push banks into raising their fixed term mortgage rates in response – a surprise after mortgage rates were previously lowered just weeks ago – and now two major banks have made the first moves.

TD bank was the first of the major banks to hike it’s fixed term mortgage rates by 30bps last week, after having only lowered them two weeks prior. CIBC also took action shortly after TD, hiking its own rates 20bps to reflect the growing yields. All the other major banks, as well as smaller lenders, are predicted to follow suit in the coming days if they haven’t already as they pass increased lending costs on to consumers. As yields continue to rise, mortgage rates will follow.

Though seemingly a small percentage, this increase in rates could cost a consumer over $10,000 over the course of a five-year term. That figure may only grow should yields continue their upward trend. And while $10,000 may be small in comparison to the total cost of a property, it could be enough to cause buyers to rethink their decisions on what they can afford.

It was only mid-September when the major banks began cutting their mortgage rates suspecting a continuing low yield on government bonds. Now, as the price of funding debt is rising, they are seeking to raise the rates once again. Luckily, it’s predicted that mortgage rates will nonetheless remain relatively low for the coming months and into next year. Though if the past month is anything to go by, you can never really tell with today’s market.

While most other GOC bond yields are on the rise, the five-year GOC bond yield is of particular interest as an indicator for changes in mortgage rates. However, the rate most directly impacts fixed rate five-year mortgages. A rise in this particular yield may push more consumers away from such mortgages and towards cheaper variable-rate mortgages that move based on the overnight rate, a figure set to remain steady until mid next year.

CONNECT Asset Management works with clients to secure high yield investments in the pre-construction condominium market. We work with you to establish a real estate portfolio that will work for you leading up to and during your retirement.

How does it work? We negotiate with the industry’s leading developers to secure deep discounts reserved exclusively for our clients. By promising a high volume of sales in a short period of time, developers extend exclusive incentive packages to us that we can then pass on to our subscribers.

We are committed to getting you the best units at the best prices at the best projects. In an attempt to bring transparency to an otherwise muddled industry, we take a data-centric approach to providing you with actionable insight into the world of condominium investing.

For more info, contact:

Ryan Coyle, Co-Founder

CONNECT Asset Management

(416) 800-9272

[email protected]

Closing fees when buying a condo in Ontario

Sometimes, a story will appear in the news: “Condo buyers caught off guard by high closing costs.” Someone purchases a condo or other property without doing their homework. As the sale goes through, they’re surprised to find that closing costs are higher than expected due to fees that they didn’t budget for, especially in Toronto.

It’s unfortunate that high closing costs come as a surprise to some people. But the truth is, there are no costs you can’t account for beforehand. You must always consider how additional fees can raise your closing costs when budgeting for your purchase. Buying real estate can be a challenging process, and it’s one of the most expensive purchases a person will ever make. If you are spending so much money on a property investment, you should be doing your research!

But we understand your struggle. The many different closing costs can be mystifying at times. That’s why in today’s article, we’ll help clear up the confusion around closing costs. Here are some of the most expensive condo closing costs that investors should factor into their accounting.

What are closing costs: deposit

The deposit should come as no surprise. You’ll need to pay a certain percentage of the price of the condo on signing, and throughout the building process, just like you would need to make a down payment on a house. Make sure you know what the payment structure is, and ask for this in writing. One advantage to pre-construction builds is that builders break up the deposit structure into smaller amounts. That way, you don’t have to pay the deposit all at once. You can space out three or four smaller installments that you pay for over a few months to a few years. A 20% down payment can be intimidating, but many pre-construction developers accept four 5% payments over the course of the building process which is much more manageable. Deposits and down payments make up most of the fees, but other little things can add up!

What are closing costs: Land Transfer Tax

Land transfer taxes can add a surprising amount above your purchase price. This is especially true for real estate in the city of Toronto where you will not only have to pay the Ontario Land Transfer Tax but also the Toronto Land Transfer Tax. When you buy a property, tax is paid by the buyer on the total value of the property being exchanged.

Here’s what you’ll pay under the Ontario Land Transfer Tax:

• 0.5% on the first $55,000
• 1.0% on the amount between $55,000 and $250,000
• 1.5% – on anything between $250,000 and $400,000
• 2.0% – on anything over $400,000

There is some relief for first-time buyers, as they may qualify and receive a credit worth up to $2000.

The Toronto Land Transfer Tax has a similar structure to the provincial transfer tax:

• 0.5% – on the first $55,000
• 1.0% – on the amount between $55,000 – $400,000
• 2.0% – on anything over $400,000. Once again, first-time buyers in the city have a bit of relief. They’re exempt from paying on the first $400,000.

If you were going by the benchmark purchase price of a condo in Toronto ($352,000), you’d pay $3,755 for the Ontario Land Transfer Tax and $3,245 for the Toronto Land Transfer Tax. That means you’ll pay $7,000 total, or almost 2% of the purchase price, in Land Transfer Taxes alone. If you are lucky enough to be an eligible first-time buyer, you could save the entire amount of the Toronto tax in this scenario, but only if you remember to apply for it.

This example is for real estate in Ontario, but in other provinces, you will have to pay for land transfer as well.

What are closing costs: Tarion Warranty Fee

Tarion, while a valuable layer of protection for your condo, doesn’t come for free. On new-build condos, there is an enrollment fee. The fee depends on how much the purchase price of your condo is. The Tarion enrollment fee is $802.30 for a condo that costs between $300,000 and $350,000, or $881.40 for a condo that costs between $350,000.01 and $400,000.00.

While the fee may seem like a pain – it’s worth it. If any problems arise resulting from shoddy workmanship, they can cost a lot more than $800 for the home buyer. It is possible that the builder has already factored the Tarion fee into the purchase price of your property, so you are covered.

What are closing costs: CMHC Insurance Premium

If you plan on putting less than 20% down on your condo, then insurance premiums on your mortgage are another fee you need to account for. The Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) usually requires the lender to pay insurance on any mortgage with less than 20% down, and these premiums are passed on to the property buyer. This is done to protect the lender from default on these comparatively riskier mortgage loans, while also allowing buyers access to more options in their property choice.

The rate varies from province to province but your mortgage insurance will typically be between 0.5% and 2.5% of the principal of the mortgage. Often, this fee can be factored into your mortgage so you won’t pay it immediately. Most real estate investments require a minimum of 20%, so you likely won’t need to consider the CMHC fee.

What are closing costs: legal fees

Legal fees are another standard closing cost to consider when buying a condo. Unless you are a lawyer or do all the legal legwork on your own (something we would not recommend) you will likely be paying a lawyer for their services. Depending on the lawyer you work with, you’ll pay between $1,000 and $2,500 in legal fees.

It’s important to choose a competent lawyer. Don’t think you can save on subpar legal help – this can cost you much more in the end if something goes wrong. Condos are a big purchase, and a lawyer is the best person to protect you from major issues.

What are closing costs: other fees the builder may pass to the buyer

A savvy investor knows how to ask the right questions when buying a property. There are some important questions you too should be asking.

• What other fees are the builders passing on?
• Will the builder cap closing costs?
• Additional recurring fees (condo fees, maintenance fees, parking, property taxes etc.)

Other fees you need to consider when buying property, but may not be necessary depending on your situation are:

• Home inspection
• Property appraisal
• HST, where applicable
• ?Title insurance, and Utility service deposits
• Builder and Educational levies

Generally speaking, closing costs usually add up to 1-4% of the purchase price. Although a 1% difference in closing cost may seem small, it could end up being thousands of dollars. The more homework you do, the better prepared you’ll be. And the less likely fees will surprise you. Hopefully, you now have a better understanding of fees on your condo purchase, and will have no surprises about your closing costs when you see them!

Looking to purchase a condo in the Greater Toronto Area?

CONNECT Asset Management is always here to help you break down your condo purchase. Connect with us and we can save you some time, and money!

Brantford, a small city west of the Greater Toronto Area, has become a hotbed of investor activity lately, thanks to its plenteous multifamily dwellings and affordable low-rise housing.

According to local real estate broker Adam DeGroote, Brantford’s growing population—the city of roughly 100,000 residents is expecting another 30,000 over the following three decades—is the surest market fundamental denoting that rental demand is on the cusp of exploding—more than it already has. DeGroote noted that the city’s investment potential isn’t a nascent phenomenon: MoneySense named Brantford Canada’s top investment destinations in 2018 and the city consistently ranks near the top of MoneySense’s rankings every year.

“We’ve got a lot of eyes on Brantford since MoneySense came out with that ranking, and it’s been strong ever since,” DeGroote told CREW. “I get phone calls daily from investors in the GTA looking for mostly multifamily units in this area or older homes that they could convert, like turning basements into a secondary apartment unit, because they don’t have to get a license for that here.”

Multiplexes are, without doubt, the most popular segment of housing in Brantford’s investor market, although capitalization rates have fallen to 4-5%. Still, Brantford is located off Highway 403, making connectivity to Toronto, Buffalo, Detroit, Windsor, Kitchener-Waterloo, and London, simple, and it has attracted all kinds of industry, including major employers like Ferrero Rocher, which just built a capacious facility, and S.C. Johnson Wax. Moreover, as a blue-collar town, rental demand is slated to remain elevated in the years to come, especially as surging real estate prices have spilled out of the GTA in every direction into exurban markets like Brantford.

“The rental vacancy rate here is close to zero,” said DeGroote. “There’s such strong demand in Brantford with way more people looking to rent than there are places available. Some places remain empty for renovation work, too.

“Prices are, however, rising, albeit not to the same extent that pushed investors out of metropolises like Toronto and Vancouver, because positive cash flows are still very much attainable.”

The city also has several post-secondary institutions operating within city limits, including Wilfrid Laurier, which has Brantford’s largest educational campus, that’s home to over 3,100 students, Conestoga College, Six Nations Polytechnic, and Westervelt College. With colleges and universities slated to reopen their campuses to students for in-class learning this fall, there will likely be even more downward pressure on the city’s rental vacancy rate, believes DeGroot. Moreover, residents priced out of nearby cities are also eyeing Brantford for its comparatively affordable rental accommodations.

‘There’s a big influx of residents from Hamilton and Burlington, and it’s brought prices up,” said DeGroot. “Anything multifamily is being scooped up in record time.”

The pandemic has been difficult on landlords but it nevertheless highlights the importance of working with tenants who, because of job loss, were incapable of paying rent on time and finding solutions.

Chris Graham, co-owner Shoreline Property Management, says his firm managed to get ahead of the problem and still had a 93% collection rate, down from 98% pre-pandemic, at the peak of its tenants’ job losses.

“We got ahead of things a little bit here,” he said. “We sent a letter out to all of our tenants saying this will be an issue and ‘We understand that you may be out of a job and it might be more difficult to pay, so give us a call because we’re all in this together.’ That sparked a lot of contacts.”

Shoreline—whose owners run Palm Tree Investments, which invests in the multifamily sector—frequently reached out to municipal government agencies across the Ontario jurisdictions in which it has rental properties—Barrie, Wasaga Beach, Midland, Brighton, Trenton, Belleville and Kingston—inquiring about programs to help tenants. The company established payment plans for its tenants, which were staggered for the most part.

“Some would dip into savings, but there was a lag time between the issue we were going through and CERB [Canada Emergency Response Benefit] kicking in and giving people the money they needed to get by, and that lag time was the highest anxiety-inducing side of it,” Graham said. “If it was a couple of hundred bucks bi-weekly, great; we still need to make sure we get caught up, though, but we weren’t going to start chasing down our tenants. Instead, we worked with them.”

Shoreline was sympathetic to the plight of its tenants who were unable to pay their rents, but it had its own mortgages to pay. Thankfully, Graham says, mortgage deferrals were lifelines of sorts.

Hayth Property Management’s Randy Hayer says that dealing with tenants during the pandemic required compassion and a gentle touch. Complicating matters is that many tenants were reluctant to allow visitors into their apartments because, at the inception of the pandemic, few understood how dangerous COVID-19 actually was.

“We haven’t seen anything like this in modern times; everyone was learning on the fly,” Hayer said. “The property owners we had as clients were mostly understanding so long as they received some payment because they didn’t want to risk defaulting on their mortgage payments. They reduced rent in many cases.”

Property management companies typically refer to tenants who don’t pay rent to collections agencies, often after a single missed payment, but Hayer says that unusual times call for different approaches.

“We dealt with students a lot and they usually had nowhere else to live. We’d break up their payments into instalments over the year for the months that they missed. We’re human and we understand their plight because we have families ourselves, so we didn’t want to put people in impossible situations. We made sure the tenants were on board with our plans. It’s important to set people up for success, not failure.”

A new digital platform endeavours to streamline what its founders say is an inefficient housing development process through a new data-driven operating system, which, if successful, will allow developers to share and access information with ease, ultimately spurring faster development and putting more people into homes.

In a release announcing their mission, RIOS, a partnership between R-LABS and Teranet, states that the current affordability crisis and housing supply shortage cannot be solved by the government alone. The larger issues, RIOS says, are symptoms of hundreds of smaller problems created through an efficient development process. Joe Vaccaro, founder and president of RIOS, and former CEO of the Ontario Home Builders Association has experience on both sides of the government and business divide and recognizes the need for new solutions.

“I’ve come to the conclusion that the reality is some of these regulatory realities can only be improved through technology-driven, business-driven applications,” said Vaccaro. “So that’s sort of where I’m coming from, having spent a lifetime on the advocacy side and recognizing that government regulation doesn’t help streamline the process. This is the opportunity for the industry to find a way to streamline the process, to benefit everyone: consumers, business, and government. We have to solve some of these problems ourselves.”

Vaccaro explains the RIOS system as a highway. Currently, the development process is experiencing a traffic jam and it’s limiting how many homes can be constructed. RIOS hopes to develop an operating system to collect, study, and act on data on the thousands of decisions being made every day, allowing for everyone to reach their destination much faster.

“Whenever there is regulatory inefficiency, the consumer pays for that ultimately. Every hiccup along the way, every delay along the way is a cost to the consumer. So if we can smooth out those inefficiencies, whether they’re business-to-business inefficiencies, business-to-government efficiency, or business-to-consumer inefficiencies, smoothing those out will have a positive impact on the consumer. Because we know, right now, every one of those barriers adds to the cost of a new home. “

One of RIOS’s keys to success is in its founding partners. R-LABS is known for its work with institutional investors to create purpose-driven companies that solve major problems in real estate. Teranet owns and operates the Ontario Electronic Land Registration System and brings large amounts of data and industry expertise to the table. Vacarro and his co-founder Antoni Wisniowski, formerly with the Municipal Property Assessment Corporation , collectively bring decades of industry experience to this project. Another major key is the $4 million investment acquired to launch the company.

Vaccaro, speaking about his newly formed team said, “I think the two of us have formed a strong team that can not just identify the problems but can ultimately solve them with a technology-driven solution”

The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) is reporting a busy fall market, as sales and average sale prices rose from August to September, although new listings declined.

While activity increased in September from a month earlier, sales decreased by 18% year-over-year. Davelle Morrison, a broker with Bosley Real Estate, is confident the market is healthy and considers last year’s statistics “a bit of an anomaly.”

“I feel that last august was really inflated because we’d just all come out of lockdown and people were making decisions to move simply because they were out of lockdown and they could. The results of last august are really an anomaly because of what we were going through at the time, so it’s almost like you have to skip a year and look at what the results were back in 2019,” Morrison said.

With her knowledge of previous years’ activity, Morrison forecasts few surprises for the coming months, predicting a strong market for the remainder of the year.

“I feel like right now things are pretty stable,” Morrison said.“Fall is here and I don’t see anything really changing. Rates are still low, even if they bring them up by a quarter of a point. Our federal election is now over, so people don’t have that hanging in their heads, wondering what various governments are going to do. I would expect that next year the January, February, March markets will be similar to what it’s done in previous years.”

Also predicted to continue is demand for work from home spaces and the role it will play in buyers’ decisions.

“I think that’s one of the biggest things that’s changing the dynamic. As long as people are going to be working from home, they need more space, and this is the same reason that drove the market up last year,” Morrison said. We’ve got a lot of corporations who at first thought people were going to go back to the office in September, and they’re pushing that back to November or even February, which just exacerbates that need for home office space.”<.p>

Despite the growth in work-from-home positions, Morrison ponders the effects of a workforce returning to offices in the city and how this change could further drive the condo market. Condos were the only market segment that saw an increase over September 2020, with TRREB data indicating a 13% year-over-year increase in sales

“One of the things I wonder is that when some of those people that moved out of the city realize they actually have to work from the office, they may need to get a condo downtown so that they can actually work from the office, let’s say three or four days a week before they go out to the place they bought outside of Toronto. To me, that’s the next trend that I’m waiting to see because I feel like that was a bit of a knee-jerk reaction to our lifestyle last year and our lifestyle is going to go back to where it was before.”

For current property owners considering selling this fall, Morrison offers a few pieces of advice.

“We’re not seeing the crazy prices that we were before, so I think that anybody who’s looking to sell right now just needs to temper their expectations in terms of the price that they hope to get. They will get market value but I don’t see them getting anything crazy above them at this point,” says Morrison

And despite a fall in listings, buyers may be gaining more leverage in the offers they tender. Even with tight demand, Morrison says buyers are more cautious than before.

“I will say that some of the offers we’re seeing now are conditional and that’s something new. Before we weren’t really entertaining conditions and now we have to. That’s definitely a change I’ve seen in the market.”

Canadian home prices should rise another 5% before the end of 2021, says a new report from RE/MAX.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, single-family detached homes have grown the most in price this year compared to 2020, rising between 6.8% and 27.3% across 26 markets RE/MAX included in its analysis. According to the company’s brokers who participated in the survey, the market segment will continue seeing price gains through the remainder of the year.

“As our brokers and agents predict, the fall market activity is expected to remain steady, which is promising, despite the ongoing challenges presented by the Delta variant,” Christopher Alexander, senior vice president of RE/MAX Canada, said. “This is particularly relevant given the Canadian housing market is often a good indicator of economic activity in the country, and with the Bank of Canada forecasting economic growth of 4.5% in 2022, a strong fall housing market is a good sign that things may be starting to return to a more natural rhythm.”

In Ontario, single-family detached homes experienced price gains that are among the highest in the country, with 13 of 16 regions seeing increases of 20-35.5% year-over-year, says the report. However, Toronto is not one of them—single-family detached homes rose by 14.6% compared to a year ago, followed by Mississauga at 19.7%, and Thunder Bay at 17.1%.

Low housing supply in Vancouver hasn’t been able to keep up with robust demand, but RE/MAX suggests that alternative markets present viable options for many of the city’s frustrated homebuyers. In Edmonton and Calgary, however, local housing affordability, low interest rates and higher purchasing power have put homebuyers in the driver’s seat, and there’s no sign of that trend dissipating this year.

Nanaimo, Victoria and Vancouver have seen home prices grow compared to a year ago by 23%, 19.1% and 16.4%, respectively. In fact, Nanaimo’s condo prices rose by 17.6% year-over-year to $343,713, while its townhome segment surged by 65.8% to $511,549. Edmonton, Saskatoon, Vancouver, Victoria, Winnipeg and Nanaimo will see price gains between 4-9% through the remainder of 2021.

“Housing activity throughout the pandemic has remained strong, so it comes as no surprise that the outlook for the remainder of the year continues on an upward trajectory, which is great for homeowners and their equity, but challenging for first-time buyers who have been priced out of the market,” Elton Ash, executive vice president of RE/MAX Canada, said. “We must continue to educate Canadians from a practical, real world, point of view. What is affecting the Canadian housing market right now? Low interest rates, economic stimulus, higher home-buying budgets, a higher savings rate, homeowners too scared to sell, and not enough new construction. These factors have created current market conditions.”

Packing up and moving is arduous enough, but making matters worse for many Canadians is that there are many additional charges they’re often unaware of.

According to a survey by BigSteelBox, a moving and storage company, 19% of respondents didn’t realize they would be charged by weight, of which 36% were not aware of how they would be charged before booking. Thirty percent of respondents paid more money for their move than they were initially quoted.

“The average cost of moves climbed for a couple of reasons. Destination cities, which are rural non-urban areas, increases the cost,” Brian Hawkins, BigSteelBox’s director of operations, told CREW. “People have been leaving Toronto, Vancouver, Edmonton and Calgary because the pandemic taught us we can do our jobs from anywhere, so they would cash in on the housing market in bigger centres and move somewhere smaller.

“Whenever you take trucks off a key lane—trucks typically go where the population is—they have to get to you and back, so if there’s an opportunity for them to provide you a fixed price, that will set consumers up to win. A lot of companies charge extra fees, including a storage fee if the truck has to wait a couple of days or even a fuel surcharge.”

The survey noted that scales ultimately determine the final price consumers pay for moves, which is why final invoices rarely match quotes.

“The challenge for moving companies is the lure of underestimating the weight to make their quote look cheaper than their competitors,” said the survey report. “Our research indicates that this is an exception and not a common practice.”

However, there is another factor that, since 2020, has added to the cost of moving, Hawkins says. Commercial carriers in Canada now use electronic locking devices to track a truck’s duty time, reducing how many trucks are on the road at any given time as well as the hours spent on the road.

“It makes it safer,” Hawkins said. “They can’t get as far in the same day and that puts pressure on costs. We don’t push unsafe hours but I have heard it has put pressure on the industry for sure.”